England’s housing supply returning to pre-crash levels

The number of new homes being built in England has almost returned to pre-financial crash levels, according to Nationwide.

The Nationwide’s latest monthly house price index shows that new-build completions in 2017-18 reached 195,300, only 3 percent below the levels of 2007-08.

New figures paint rosier picture

In the years following the crash, new homes construction fell by almost 60 percent as lenders imposed tougher criteria on borrowers and the housing market contracted.

However, the Nationwide data paints a rosier picture of a growth in supply, boosted by an increase in the number of commercial properties being converted into residential units. Adding this type of property to the housing stock means the total number of additional homes is only 0.6 percent below the 2007 level.

Office conversions boost residential units

Robert Gardner, the Nationwide’s chief economist, said:

“The ‘change of use’ of buildings – from shops, offices and other commercial purposes, to homes – has provided a significant boost to supply in recent years.

“The change in government policy in 2014 to grant automatic permitted development rights to convert offices into residential properties has been a major factor, accounting for around half of dwellings created via change of use since its introduction.

“While 2017/18 saw a slowing in change of use compared with the previous year, it still accounted for around 30,000 dwellings, around 70 percent above 2007/08 level.

“In some areas, such as Nottingham and Bristol, change of use accounted for around half of homes added over the past three years.”

South-west leads way in growth

The Nationwide says England’s total housing stock has grown by 1.9 million dwellings in the last year, an 8.5 percent increase on the 2007 stock.

The south-west saw the strongest growth, along with London and the east of England. All three areas have also registered strong house price growth in the same period.

However, in the north-west and north-east, for example, house prices are still near 2007 levels and growth in supply has not been as strong as elsewhere.

 

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