Average house price edges higher – Halifax House Price Index

Average house price edges higher – but rate of annual growth slows again, according to the latest Halifax House Price Index, for August.

Key points from publication:
    • House prices increased by +0.4% in August (vs -0.1% in July)
    • Annual rate of growth eased to +11.5% (from +11.8%)
    • A typical UK property now costs a record £294,260
    • Wales still showing the strongest annual growth in the UK
    • London records highest annual house price inflation in six years

Average house price edges higher - Halifax House Price Index

Kim Kinnaird, Director, Halifax Mortgages, said:

“The slight fall seen in average house prices in July (-0.1%) was offset by a return to growth during August – although the increase (+0.4% month-on-month) was relatively modest compared to the rapid inflation we’ve witnessed in recent times. Over the last year the rate of monthly house price inflation has averaged around +0.9%.

“The typical house price reached another record high in August (£294,260) – as it has done in seven out of the eight months so far this year. However, the annual rate of growth dropped to +11.5%, from +11.8% in July, the lowest level in three months.

“While house prices have so far proved to be resilient in the face of growing economic uncertainty, industry surveys point towards cooling expectations across the majority of UK regions, as buyer demand eases, and other forward-looking indicators also imply a likely slowdown in market activity.

“Firstly, there is the considerable hit to people’s incomes from the cost-of-living squeeze. The 80% rise in the energy price cap for October will put more pressure on household finances, as will the further increases expected for January and April. At the levels being predicted, this is likely to constrain the amounts that prospective homebuyers can afford to borrow, on top of the adverse impact of higher energy prices on the wider economy.

“While government policy intervention may counter some of these impacts, borrowing costs are also likely to continue to rise, as the Bank of England is widely expected to continue raising interest rates into next year.

“With house price to income affordability ratios already historically high, a more challenging period for house prices should be expected. However, this should be viewed in the context of the exceptional growth witnessed in recent years, with average house prices having increased by more than £30,000 over the last 12 months alone.”

Average house price edges higher - Halifax House Price Index

Regions and nations house prices

Wales remains at to the top of the table for annual house price inflation, up by +16.1%, the strongest level of growth since early 2005. This means average prices have risen by £31,246 over the last year, with an average property now costing £224,858.

The South West of England also continues to record a strong rate of annual growth, up by +14.5%, with an average property cost of £313,003.

The rate of annual growth in Northern Ireland eased back further last month to +12.5%, with a typical home now costing £185,505.

Scotland also saw another slowdown in the rate of annual house price inflation, to +9.4% from +9.5%. A Scottish home now costs an average of £204,362, another record high for the nation.

While London has continued to lag behind other nations and regions, the rate of annual house price inflation in London rose again to now stand at +8.8%, its highest level in over six years. With a typical property costing a record £554,718 the capital’s average house price has risen by £44,669 over the last 12 months.

UK house prices: Historical data National (All Houses, All Buyers (Seasonally Adjusted))

Period

Index

Jan 1992=100

Standardised average price

£

Monthly change

%

Quarterly change

%

Annual change

%

August 2021

455.2

263,955

0.7

1.6

7.5

September

461.3

267,516

1.4

1.6

7.4

October

465.9

270,184

1.0

2.1

8.2

November

470.8

273,028

1.1

3.0

8.2

December

475.9

275,996

1.1

3.2

9.7

January 2022

477.0

276,645

0.2

3.0

9.7

February

480.9

278,894

0.8

2.6

11.2

March

488.0

283,001

1.5

2.4

11.1

April

493.6

286,242

1.2

2.7

10.8

May

499.5

289,666

1.2

3.3

10.7

June

506.3

293,586

1.4

3.7

12.5

July

505.5

293,173

-0.1

3.3

11.8

August

507.4

294,260

0.4

2.6

11.5

 

 

Kindly shared by Halifax

Main article photo courtesy of Pixabay